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Lots of analytical draft analysis comes with a lot of uncertainty due to small sample sizes and the league changing over time.
Hence I thought of a method to compute the value of draft picks intrinsically. Here it is:
Timo Riske
56.7K posts
Timo Riske
@Timo_NFL
Mathematician, Data science @PFF. A simple mind thinks everything that didn't happen couldn't have happened. Tweets/opinions are my own.
- It's Pro Bowl week so here is your first annual reminder Mitch Trubisky couldn't complete a pass over a glass panel
00:00 - Travis Hunter is the perfect fit for the Giants now, because he can play wide receiver on Jameis' good passes and cornerback on Jameis' bad passes.
- helluva run. His side of the ball wasn't allowed to keep the good players, unfortunatelyBengals fired defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo, per source.
- rare occurence where there are six 5-win teams in the NFC, but a 4-win team holds the #1 seed.
- When Taylor Heinicke's career is over, he can just start a yearly column in which he predicts which QBs get benched in the coming season. Because he predicts it correctly every single offseason
- If you think about it Eli Manning was worse at every single on-field trait, but he was a better QB than Justin Herbert because he refused to play for the Chargers.
- Defensive rookie of the yearQuentin Johnston drops a perfect throw from Justin Herbert. Brutal
00:00 - the choice of QB or non-QB is perfect hereEight remain. Who’s advancing to Championship Sunday? #NFLPlayoffs
- Justin Fields has - fewer rush TDs than Jamaal Williams - lower yds per attempt than Zach Wilson - fewer pass TDs than Jared Goff - lower passer rating than Andy Dalton (sorry I'm legally obliged to play this game whenever I see it)Justin Fields has: ▪︎ More rush TD than Christian McCaffrey ▪︎ More rush yds than Dalvin Cook ▪︎ As many pass TD as Tom Brady ▪︎ Higher pass rating than Dak Prescott Redefining DUAL-THREAT #DaBears
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- A pretty cool move to deny a roster bubble player his salary to satisfy the ego of a mad man.
00:00 - The Bears signed seven UDFA WRs. No excuses for Justin Fields this season
- Can't say anything against Sean Payton's loyality, that's for sure
- If the Bears choose between Caleb Williams and Drake Maye.. Williams: Concerns are in-pocket/in structure. Exactly what Fields struggles with in the NFL. Bears might get PTSD. Maye: No concerns, but North Carolina. Exactly where Mitch Trubisky played. Bears might get PTSD.
