Futarchy (@_futarchy) / X

Futarchy

118 posts

Futarchy

@_futarchy

First futarchy on Ethereum

Ethereum

Joined November 2024

Pinned
Futarchy
@_futarchy
Nov 12, 2025
1/ Excited to partner with @SnapshotLabs to bring futarchy market signals directly into Snapshot. Tokenholders and delegates in participating DAOs can now see expected market impact before voting.
Snapshot.eth
@SnapshotLabs
Nov 12, 2025
Now live on Snapshot: Advisory Futarchy, built with @_futarchy and currently running on @Kleros_io's latest proposal. Traditional Futarchy lets markets decide outcomes. Advisory Futarchy lets markets advise while governance decides.
9.2K
Futarchy reposted
Robin Hanson
@robinhanson
May 21
Imagine I post $X in support of my blog, & if anyone disagrees w/ any claim I make there & posts $Y, & if I don't concede, judge rules who gets $(X+Y-J) where $J is judging fee. What should I call my post?
Truth Bond18.2%
Veracity Bond27.3%
Accuracy Bond22.7%
Claim Bond31.8%
22 votesFinal results
3.3K
Futarchy
@_futarchy
May 8
Technical problems prevented some traders from making positions for ~6 hours. But the market battle over GIP-150 continues. The "NO" side has now flipped to winning, and those in favor of the proposal can now buy GNO tokens conditional on proposal passing at a ~1% discount.
457
Futarchy
@_futarchy
May 8
Outside activists want to dismantle GnosisDAO (@gnosis_) treasury. The team is fighting them off. GIP-150 — a one-time pro-rata redemption: GNO for ETH, stables, and a claim on illiquid assets. Redeemed GNO is burned. Vote closes May 12.
1.6K
Futarchy
@_futarchy
May 8
Replying to @_futarchy
Conditional pool prices (both YES and NO) still trade below the proposal's worked-example per-GNO NAV. 48h TWAP window: May 9 17:34 → May 11 17:34 UTC, before the Snapshot vote closes May 12 will be considered the market recommendation. Links below.
307
Futarchy
@_futarchy
May 8
Links: 📈 futarchy.fi/market?proposa… 🗳️snapshot.box/#/s:gnosis.eth… 📜 forum.gnosis.io/t/gip-150-shou…
255
Futarchy reposted
Snapshot.eth
@SnapshotLabs
Feb 10
@gnosis_ is voting to put @_futarchy's prediction markets on every official governance proposal in a 9-month pilot - joining @Kleros_io and @VeloraDEX. GIP-145 proposes advisory markets on Snapshot showing expected $GNO price impact before voters decide. Proposed by @azsantosk,
3.5K
Futarchy reposted
Clément Lesaege
@clesaege
Jan 22
Prediction market FUD according to brain size.
Robin Hanson
@robinhanson
Oct 4, 2025
Futarchy offers great promise, but also the worrisome scenario of a very competent, and thus durable, world govt tied to mal-valued goals. overcomingbias.com/p/world-govern…
2.1K
Futarchy
@_futarchy
Dec 24, 2025
1/🧠 Futarchy market live for AAVE A futarchy market is now live to evaluate the expected impact on AAVE price if the some version of @eboadom's Alignment Proposal is approved until the end of February.
3.5K
Futarchy
@_futarchy
Dec 24, 2025
Replying to @_futarchy
app.futarchy.fi/markets/0xFb45…
644
Futarchy
@_futarchy
Dec 24, 2025
@Marczeller
539
Futarchy
@_futarchy
Dec 20, 2025
1/ PIP-75, a governance proposal for @VeloraDEX, is now live with advisory futarchy markets. The proposal is to decide whether to accept a refund from a user, related to a March 2024 vulnerability.
2.1K
Futarchy
@_futarchy
Dec 20, 2025
Replying to @_futarchy
4/ Currently the markets think this proposal passing would have a negative impact of 1%.
565
Futarchy
@_futarchy
Dec 20, 2025
5/ If you think this proposal would be positive for VLR token price, you can now buy tokens on the "YES" market for a discount. If you think the proposal is negative for VLR, you can hedge the chance of it passing by selling VLR for a small discount. End of the thread.
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