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Matt Savoca
@draftaholic
Football, games, and data. R truther. Reformed spreadsheet warrior, mediocre crossworder. Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding.
NYC
Joined August 2015
209
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1,960
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  • user avatar
    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Aug 30, 2019
    A solid way to predict poor NFL offenses: True Drive Success Rate. If we define a drive "success" as a drive that resulted in a touchdown or field goal attempt, we can use empirical bayes estimation to see which QBs were best at consistently setting their teams up to score.
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Jul 16, 2024
    Very excited to be joining the writing staff @TheFFBallers for 2024! My first piece is live now: I talk about Chris Godwin's potential to regain elite WR status as he moves back to the slot in 2024. "The Path to a WR1 Fantasy Football Season: Chris Godwin" 🆓 Link below 👇
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Sep 11, 2023
    Debuting a new way to visualize an entire DFS slate. This is the Week 1 Main Slate visual heatmap: You can really see how important team stacking (SF, MIN) and game stacking (MIA/LAC, JAX/IND) is to maximize profitability.
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Nov 28, 2021
    Giants are 18-40 (.310) since Dave Gettleman openly mocked analytics.
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    Ian Rapoport
    @RapSheet
    Nov 28, 2021
    The #Giants made a big change this week, and another is slated to come after the season. GM Dave Gettleman is likely in his last year with the team, sources say. My story: nfl.com/news/more-chan…
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Aug 1, 2023
    Some personal news!! Couldn’t be more excited to be joining the @4for4football team for the 2023 season!
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    4for4 Fantasy Football
    @4for4football
    Aug 1, 2023
    We are excited to announce that @draftaholic will be joining our DFS team as the Lead Showdown Analyst! 💰 This includes: 📈NFL DFS showdown content 📊Ownership models 🗣️Discord chats & more!
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Mar 31, 2023
    Just finished a nice six week break from the bird app. Was moderately unproductive - touched grass, ate and drank well, married my favorite person. 10/10 would recommend.
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Aug 13, 2024
    Thrilled to announce I'll be the lead DFS data scientist at @4for4football. Excited to build upon what we started with 4for4's data revamp and to keep hanging out in the showdown streets. So pumped for all we have in store for DFS subs, and grateful for the opportunity.
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    4for4 Fantasy Football
    @4for4football
    Aug 13, 2024
    🚨 We are excited to announce @draftaholic is our NEW lead DFS data scientist! 📊 Ownership Projections 🔥 Showdown Content 📈 GPP Leverage Scores
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Jan 3, 2023
    this is the worst thing I’ve ever seen in sports. heartbreaking.
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Oct 25, 2023
    The Week 8 Breakout Model is live @4for4football -- this week I dove into the high-upside TE plays in Buffalo and Arizona that have opened up due to veteran injuries: Bills TE Dalton Kincaid and Cardinals TE Trey McBride are the two most important names to highlight for the
    A bar chart depicting underperforming players in 4for4 Football's breakout receiver model with high opportunity value profiles. Two sets of 2-TE combinations are highlighted in the chart (Trey McBride and Zach Ertz, as well as Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox) in order to showcase the value of the opportunity for the players within those combinations who will likely be usage beneficiaries due to injury.
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Mar 4, 2019
    Saw a version of this a while back #onhere but wanted to make another. 2019 Draft values as measured by @StatsbyLopez, @fbgchase , Harvard Sports Analysis (Meers), and the ol' Jimmy Johnson scale. Once we hit pick 32, two playoff teams, the Colts and Pats, hold the most value.
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Jun 25, 2022
    Pumped to introduce this - @loughy and I have been breaking down NFL slates for years. This season, we’re taking our talents to the Fantasy Football streets as well Loughy & Savoca Ep. 1: WE HAVE A PODCAST | Recapping Offseason Mayhem | ... youtu.be/vRoNIkRgqg0 via @YouTube
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Dec 24, 2021
    Talking some Christmas Day slate games bright and early this morning!
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    Dave Loughran
    Stokastic DFS
    @Loughy
    Dec 24, 2021
    Yeeoooo! Not gonna be around on Christmas to watch all of our live NFL shows? @draftaholic and I are getting started early this morning with the Christmas Day Strategy Show. Come hang youtu.be/sMCQAatzol0
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Apr 29, 2022
    AJ Brown just got traded. A story in 3 acts.
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    Matt Savoca
    @draftaholic
    Sep 18, 2023
    Here is the Week 2 Main Slate visual heatmap:
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