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Ethan BdM
@ethanbdm
Ethan Bueno de Mesquita. Studying conflict, accountability, and political economy @HarrisPolicy. "A tragic waste of intellectual potential." - R2
Chicago, IL
voices.uchicago.edu/ethanbdm
Joined June 2009
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Nov 17, 2021
    Friends, this is the promised thread about my and Anthony Fowler's just published: Thinking Clearly with Data: A Guide to Quantitative Reasoning and Analysis It has been a decade from conception to finished product. And we are very proud of it. press.princeton.edu/books/paperbac… 1/48
    Cover of Thinking Clearly with Data
    Thinking Clearly with Data
    From press.princeton.edu
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Sep 19, 2024
    False positive and false negative are lovely, self-explanatory terms. I see no reason for anyone to ever say Type 1 and Type 2 error when strictly better alternatives are available. And I refuse to look up which is which.
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    Josh Merfeld
    @Josh_Merfeld
    Sep 19, 2024
    Am I the only one that has to consistently look up which error is type 1 and which is type 2? I blame the diabetes.
    121K
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Nov 3, 2021
    This one exists now too! Thread coming soon...
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Nov 9, 2021
    Replying to @cblatts
    Hmm. Are you aware that you had a colleague who was chair of President Trump's CEA and another who served on President Bush's CEA?
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Mar 21, 2023
    I don't agree with this thread. Scientists are entitled to political and policy views. But calling those views scientific is confused. Scientist's political & policy views, like anyone's, reflect facts and values. They don't have any special claim to deference wrt values. 1/
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    408K
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Apr 4, 2024
    Some professional news. I'm really excited for this opportunity.
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    Harris Policy
    @HarrisPolicy
    Apr 4, 2024
    Prof. Ethan Bueno de Mesquita has been appointed dean of the @UChicago Harris School of Public Policy, President Paul Alivisatos and Provost Katherine Baicker announced. Read more about @ethanbdm's appointment at harris.uchicago.edu/news-events/ne…
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Nov 9, 2021
    Replying to @ethanbdm and @cblatts
    My point is, this tweet is misinformation that gives the impression that we are ideologically closed faculty when we are not. And young conservatives are reading it too.
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Aug 5, 2022
    Hi folks. A few months back I gave a talk at Caltech. It was the best campus visit experience I've had in quite some time. And it has made me want to change campus visit norms a bit. So today at lunch @sgehlbach told me I should tweet about it, which I'm now doing. 1/
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Aug 1, 2022
    I have some thoughts on the Chetty et al. papers and attendant public discussion. First, the data collection is cool and the analysis interesting. This seems like valuable social science to me. 1/
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Nov 9, 2021
    Replying to @ethanbdm and @cblatts
    We have also made enthusiasticc senior job offers that have been turned down (I don't think because of our uninviting ideological culture) to senior, public facing Republicans during your time at Harris.
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Oct 31, 2022
    Roland Fryer has an op-ed in the Washington Post on affirmative action in college admissions today. I have some disagreements with his argument. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/… 1/
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    Opinion | Affirmative action in college admissions doesn’t work — but it could
    From washingtonpost.com
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Oct 20, 2022
    I went to a frustrating informational session for parents of high schoolers getting ready to apply to college yesterday. The person presenting went on and on about how schools no long care about standardized tests because "the data show they are not predictive." 1/
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    May 31, 2022
    For those of you starting to think about your classes for next year, your occasional reminder that two of my books--Thinking Clearly with Data and Political Economy for Public Policy--have extensive teaching materials freely available online. 1/4
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    Ethan BdM
    @ethanbdm
    Oct 9, 2021
    My (purely introspective, evidence-free) view on smoothing the classes to research transition for PhD students is this: Encourage PhD students to be trying to write papers basically from day one. The papers will (mostly) be bad. That 's fine. There are several benefits: 1/3