lostzemblan (@iabvek) / X

lostzemblan

7,300 posts

lostzemblan

@iabvek

No poor people in a rich country | Isaiah 2:12

prediction markets

Joined July 2016

lostzemblan
@iabvek
May 14, 2022
Replying to @MattWolking and @Kathy4Truth
this is so amazingly dishonest...the DD214 is for Barnette's 4 months of basic training, and all discharges after a period of less than 6 months are classified as "uncharacterized". After basic training she served in the National Guard and has an honorable discharge on her NGB-22
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Feb 5, 2023
if only SBF had read this handy 80k article on the "10 most harmful jobs" 80000hours.org/2015/08/what-a…
14K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Dec 12, 2023
clear correlation between latitude and longitude for Kentucky at a precinct level -- nobody talks about this but it could explain some of Beshear's surprising overpermance @PoliticalKiwi
14K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Apr 4, 2022
The people going on about how Fetterman won re election after threatening his constituent with a loaded gun need to keep in mind only ~8% of the population of Braddock voted for him in the 2013 election and his successor endorsed Kenyatta. Not exactly an overwhelming endorsement!
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Apr 4, 2025
Replying to @robinhanson and @whyvert
FWIW from eyeballing a decent number of the high income/low fertility rural counties are tourist/ski areas, which I think strengthens the argument
2.8K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Jan 2, 2024
Replying to @MappingFL
One big thing Biden could do is stop sending weapons to Israel, and commit to vetoing any military aid to Israel
1.1K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Aug 4, 2023
Replying to @floates0x
I think it means basically "its rude to behave so tyranically to researchers who have been struggling to borrow money to fund their research"
4.2K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Jun 25, 2025
Replying to @ArmandDoma
This is pretty misleading -- the richest areas of NYC voted for Cuomo and Mamdani won Latinos and Asians pretty easily. The Cuomo coalition was Jewish voters, old Black voters, and rich voters
5.6K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Sep 22, 2021
Replying to @TheOmniZaddy
wow he scored in the top 99.5% of people
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Jan 30, 2025
celebrating breaking top 10 on the kalshi leaderboard with a nice macaron (not pictured) and donating 10% of total profits to @iapsAI
6.4K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Jun 25, 2025
Replying to @ArmandDoma and @KarthikForTexas
Pretty sure he won asians by more than he won whites, and it's quite possible he won latinos by more than whites as well (will have to look at the full data to try to get a better sense of that)
2.8K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Oct 28, 2022
Replying to @Nate_Cohn
how on earth is this "fresh evidence that the GOP is poised to retake Congress"??
lostzemblan
@iabvek
May 23, 2023
Replying to @kendallhosseini
I thought he gave up on the notecards and gave his own speech?
6.8K
lostzemblan
@iabvek
Oct 18, 2023
Replying to @jon_victor_
wow thank you based trisolarans
8.8K