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Paul Roales
473 posts
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Paul Roales
@proales
Hallowed imprint
San Francisco, CA
proales.com
Joined August 2009
1,225
Following
4,830
Followers
  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Oct 14, 2025
    If narrative around ML becomes 5,000 weird poly 20 year olds in SF got dynastically wealthy and you lost your job, and your kids got addicted to slop ML videos, and their huge new data centers are using all the water and your power bill is going up Backlash will be fierce.
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    5.6K
  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Apr 30, 2025
    During an 8 hour shift SF Muni fare inspectors only manage to board one bus and write half the people on the bus who did not pay tickets.
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    Muni cops issue just 8 citations a day, many are on leave
    From sfstandard.com
    1.5K
  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Jul 28, 2025
    Cost of compute might well go up in the next few years. Everyone was conditioned over the last few decades to assume that algorithmic improvements are guaranteed and Moore's Law will take care of it. Now Moore's is dead and electricity costs are going up fast.
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    11K
  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Dec 3, 2024
    "Idaho has proved deregulation is possible. The state repealed and revised its administrative rules code through a sunset review process in 2019. The results were dramatic. Since then, 95% of state regulations have been eliminated or simplified. The sky didn’t fall."
    759
  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Oct 16, 2025
    Blackouts? No not power company incompetence, AI data centers! Water shortage? No not the desert alfalfa farming, AI data centers! Stock market down? No not because of tariffs or erratic WH, AI bubble bursting! The new omni-excuse for everything bad, blame ML!
    user avatar
    the Rich
    @Duderichy
    Oct 16, 2025
    if I was a CEO doing layoffs of course I would claim it’s because ai is making things more efficient it removes all liability of poor decision / hiring choices from the company companies are going to keep claiming ai is causing them to do layoffs, not because it’s true, but
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  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Apr 9, 2025
    His kids and the WH staff are front running trades on this like crazy right? And he will proactively pardon his entire staff and family before leaving office - the perfect crime/corruption 10x returns on their money while the rest of the country/world burns
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  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Dec 25, 2024
    Supply and demand works everywhere except the area where it benefits me if it is ignored and instead assumed that demand is infinite.
    527
  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Feb 16, 2025
    Absolutely everyone seems convinced that ML breaks all the past rules and something like "the stock market will 5x in just a few years" or "we will soon discover all medicines and materials ever" When a sentiment is so broadly shared it almost never goes as expected.
    317
  • user avatar
    Paul Roales
    @proales
    Jun 25, 2025
    Tech is feeling a lot more like trading these days, where you have a temporary edge that might produce a stream of cash for months to years but you know it is eventually going to get arbitraged away or made irrelevant. The previous era of people thinking they were building
    1K

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