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Sam Greene
@samagreene
Professor @KingsRussia. Political sociologist. Progressive. Opinions my own. 🇬🇧/🇺🇸
London
tldrussia.substack.com
Joined March 2010
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Feb 10, 2025
    For the avoidance of doubt: The opinions and analysis I express on this platform are my own and do not reflect the positions of any particular institution. Just in case: bsky.app/profile/samagr… threads.net/@sam.greene76 tldrussia.substack.com
    65K
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Mar 3, 2022
    Vladimir Putin is increasingly fighting two wars: one in Ukraine, and one at home. A week in, neither is going terribly well. (A 🧵, in case that wasn't obvious.)
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Jun 24, 2023
    My main thought, as Prigozhin sends his men back to base, is that this isn’t over yet. I’m not suggesting that Prigozhin will try again. But my strong sense is that Putin’s challenges are only beginning. /1
    2.1M
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Feb 13, 2025
    Ok folks, deep breaths. There is very real reason to worry about the dynamic emerging between Washington and Moscow when it comes to Ukraine. But there is also very real reason to believe that Ukraine and Europe can create a better outcome. (A rather long 🧵, obviously) /1
    1M
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    May 8, 2022
    Note to journalists and pundits: Whatever Putin might like you to believe, it was the Soviet Union that defeated Nazi Germany, not Russia. So please stop saying that 9 May commemorates Russia's victory in WWII.
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Nov 7, 2022
    Time for a reminder that there's about 50 years of research showing a clear correlation between a background in engineering and support for authoritarianism.
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    Elon Musk
    X
    @elonmusk
    Nov 7, 2022
    To independent-minded voters: Shared power curbs the worst excesses of both parties, therefore I recommend voting for a Republican Congress, given that the Presidency is Democratic.
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    May 7, 2022
    So, I'm increasingly seeing stories like this one, together with takes from foreign policy analysts along the lines of "the West lacks a strategy for deterring Russia." (You know who you are.) And it's going to make my head explode. (An annoyed 🧵)
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    Russia’s economy is back on its feet
    From economist.com
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Sep 10, 2022
    Ukraine's counter-offensive in the northeast – liberating in a day territory that took Russia a month or more to conquer – is breathtaking. Inspiring, even. But it should also be sobering. Apart from anything else, it reveals just how much we struggle to analyze this war. /1
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Feb 21, 2022
    Putin's Donbas address is unbelievably dark and aggressive. I've watched a lot of Putin speeches, and I don't think I've ever seen one quite like this.
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Dec 29, 2023
    Does Vladimir Putin want negotiations? Almost certainly yes. Does Putin want to negotiate? Almost certainly not. The difference is not semantic. (A long-ish 🧵) /1
    1.4M
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Feb 24, 2022
    One more thread today, and then I'm going to take a break and decompress for a while. This one's about protests and Russian public opinion.
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Sep 22, 2022
    As Russia's military commissariats begin rounding up reservists for the front, we're seeing fairly clear -- if inevitably anecdotal -- evidence that the call-up is falling hardest on the communities already hardest hit by the war, particularly ethnic minorities. /1
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Mar 11, 2022
    So, I wrote last week that Putin is fighting two wars: one in Ukraine, and another against his own public. Scratch that: he's fighting four. The other two are a political battle with his own elite, and a geo-economic war on some of Russia’s closest allies. (Another 🧵)
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    Sam Greene
    @samagreene
    Mar 6, 2022
    Let me explain how this works: If Shoigu is preparing a coup, we will find out about it when Putin is in a box or in a cage, and not a moment sooner.
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