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Tomasz Tunguz
Theory Ventures
@ttunguz
Venture capitalist at @theoryvc Student of Startups Backer of 9 unicorns Author of tomtunguz.com Subscribe ttunguz.kit.com/ef0a779b9c
San Francisco, CA
Joined November 2007
Posts
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    I’m thrilled to announce the debut of Theory Ventures (@Theoryvc) & our first fund of $230m. I’ve spent my career as a student of startups. I’ve worked for two, invested in many, seven of which became unicorns.
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    After more than 14 years at Redpoint, I’m starting a new chapter. I’m filled with optimism for the future.
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    Constellation Software is a $30b+ publicly-traded software holding company employing more than 25,000. A former venture capitalist, Mark Leonard started Constellation in 1995 with $15m of outside investment & a goal of buying vertical software companies.
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    Moderna unified the role of CTO and head of people - the new leader determines which jobs are better done by humans or AI. It's among the first in what will very likely be a series of org chart reimaginings.
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    Every year I make a list of predictions & score last year’s predictions. Here are my predictions for 2023.
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    Today, we’re announcing our second fund of $450m to support our mission of partnering with early stage software companies that leverage technology discontinuities into go-to-market advantages. This marks the next chapter in our firm’s evolution. Since we launched @Theoryvc in
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    ServiceNow, a $150b market cap company, made this statement yesterday in their earnings call : “In Q4, our gen AI products drove the largest net new ACV contribution for our first full quarter of any of our new product family releases ever, including our original Pro SKU.”
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    Nvidia just committed $110B in vendor financing—85% of annual revenue. Lucent's playbook in 2000? 20%. Is this the telecom bubble all over again? I analyzed the numbers. Thread 🧵
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    What was the most profitable software company in Q1 2024? Ethereum. Ethereum generated $370m in profit on $825m in revenue for about a 45% net income margin. The chart above shows both the historical performance & also explains how web3 blockchains like Ethereum generate
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    This morning, Coupa announced its sale to Thoma Bravo for $6.2b. The acquisition is notable for three reasons. First, the premium to the public price is 31%. Second, the multiple is 8.4x NTM revenues. Third, it’s the biggest this year since Figma’s sale to Adobe.
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    Klarna, the Swedish fintech giant, is making waves by churning from industry-standard software like Salesforce and Workday in favor of building its own internal systems with AI. After their success with AI customer support automation which manages 2/3 of their customer
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    Over the weekend, Tobi, the founder and CEO of Shopify, discussed the major reason investors passed on Shopify in the early days : market size. I remember that financing round, & I remember having the same concern, & making the same mistake. Living in the valley & driving on
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    OpenAI has committed to spending $1.15 trillion on hardware & cloud infrastructure between 2025 & 2035.1 The spending breaks down across seven major vendors: Broadcom ($350B), Oracle ($300B), Microsoft ($250B), Nvidia ($100B), AMD ($90B), Amazon AWS ($38B), & CoreWeave ($22B).
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    If it wasn’t clear before, AI is the single biggest revenue driver in cloud. Microsoft’s Azure is winning share directly from Amazon. In Feburary, Microsoft grew 2% & Amazon lost 2%. Google is also taking share - 1% in the last year. A one percentage point share shift represents
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