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Last year at @tryramp I laid out three predictions for how language models would evolve. I was trying to clarify which bets might actually be durable over time.
A lot of it is now starting to take shape.
Here鈥檚 an update. Thread 馃憞
- company values should be falsifiable. There should be companies who would abhor what you value.
- important trendReplying to @chooi_jeqLLM token output speed increases by 2-7x per year, with Fable-class models doubling every month (month!). If trends continue, LLMs could meaningfully control robots in real time by end of the year, or by 2029 at the latest.
- a wise man once told me "sufficiently advanced latency is indistinguishable from downtime""In a distributed system, a very slow node looks exactly the same as a crashed one. A crash is just a degree of slowness." -- matklad
