sakana17: zhao yunlan and shen wei confront enemy on a rooftop (guardian-zhaoyunlan-shenwei-rooftopstand)
[personal profile] sakana17
Toward the end of our trip to China, [personal profile] thevetia and I visited Shanghai Film Park! We lucked out with the weather and it was a cold but sunny day. I'm so glad we went. It was a wonderful pilgrimage. :D

Logistical stuff )

Prelude to the pictures )

Pictures! )
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Posted by If only I had a penguin...

Please help me articulate my question and then answer it. These tasks need not be performed by the same person. So I was thinking about how medal counts in the olympics are often also presented per capita. But then I was thinking that olympic atheletes are not like the "mean level of skating ability in country X" they are "the highest level of skating ability in country X". And I remember from my graduate stats class that while means are asymptotic around the true value, maximums are not. So my question is something like: what's a way to compare medal counts taking population count into account that addresses this issue.

Ok, I'm going to be talking out loud here and free-associating because I don't know exactly what I'm picturing.

So as best I recall it, when we were talking about parameter estimates in graduate stats (and I know that athletic performance is an observed value not a parameter estimate, but bear with me) an estimate is asymptotic if: as your sample size increases the estimated value comes closer and closer to the true value in some predictable/steady way. Now this is about the sampling distribution not every single estimated value you might get. The mean is asymptotic...the larger your sample the narrower the distribution of estimates gets, which is why the confidence interval is smaller.

The maximum is not asymptotic. There is a true maximum out there and you will get it if you happen to sample that person. And I suppose if you sample more people you might get more range of values and so you're likely to get a higher value and so come closer to the max, but you can't really draw a curve of how much closer you come based on the sample size, like you can with the mean.

OK, so thinking about medal counts...if you think of a hypothetical universe of hypothetical people who could be qualified to compete for country X, the more of those hypothetical people actually exist*, obviously the more likely you are to get to sample (as in, have exist in your country) the one who is the best skater (or whatever) and send them to the olympics. But how much more likely is not really a linear knowable thing. And I wonder if larger population actually matters MORE for max than it would for mean because when you sample more people the estimated mean dances around the true value sometimes higher sometimes lower...but if you're measuring the max, sampling additional units can ONLY raise it thus it can ONLY result in more medals.

Am I making any sense? the modes will have to forgive me if a threadsit a little here because I may need to clarify. Or attempt to. So the question is...how might one be able to compare medal counts across population sizes given that there's no reason to expect that every hypothetical million people raises the medal possibilities by the same amount or even by a calculatable amount?

*For justification to this particular logical form I point you to the fact that we test statistical significance in census values even though that IS the population because we are testing it against a hypothetical population of imaginary versions of that country. As per my undergrad stats professor
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Posted by dabadoo

The heel of my 20 year downhill ski boots broke. I am looking into new ski boots but I have old bindings (ISO 5355?) and no convenient ski shop near me. Be my ski shop specialist! Pic of boot, bindings, skis inside.

My skis, boots, bindings are 20 years old. The one ski shop near us was very pushy about uncomfortable $800 boots and upgrading my bindings for $300 and refused to even show me boots a size bigger because they're not the "correct size" for my foot (even though the "correct size" was tight and uncomfortable), so I want to see if I can buy online.

I already have a good understanding of what I need as far as fit (my size, last, firmness of boot) and I am an intermediate skier (I can comfortably ski black and double black on the east coast of the US, have no interest in going faster or skiing moguls. I LOVE my 20 year old boots even though they're 2 sizes too big according to this ski shop guy (or maybe I love them because they're 2 sizes too big and are comfortable in the toe box). I am looking to be comfortable for 8 hours, not for performance or speed. Though I do love my stiff boot because of the extra support while standing, so I will look for ~100+ flex.

I originally looked into replacing the heel of my boots (Salomon Ivory) but couldn't find any online. I think they need to be 12mm?

Crazy question: Can I ski with a part of the heel broken? I clipped into my skis and the boot seems very firmly connected to the ski. Picture here. I don't think it's going anywhere. If this seems safe, I will ski 1-2 days this year and then look for end-of-season boot sales. If not, let me know this is a bad idea (no need to pile on!) and help me with the questions below:

1) My bindings are Atomic 310, so any boots that say they're compatible with ISO 5355 bindings should work?
2) Can I, a very handy person with an even handier husband, watch a YouTube video and adjust my bindings to my future new boots? If not, I will have the ski resort do it.
3) How long do bindings last? I ski 2-3 days per year, they're 20 years old. Does it make sense to get new bindings and get GripWalk ski boots?

Any thoughts/advice welcome!

Here's a Google drive folder with a pic of my bindings and my ski boot clipped into my ski (with a little chunk of the heel missing).

A Mowing mannequin

Feb. 22nd, 2026 10:08 pm
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Posted by cichlid ceilidh

"In this video I describe an articulated model scythe figure I constructed in wood to demonstrate aspects of body movement and posture when using a scythe to mow grass." [SLYT]

Dial-A-Poem Persists

Feb. 22nd, 2026 09:55 pm
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Posted by Shepherd

Click the phone to pick it up and hear a poem. Click again to hang up. Click again to hear another. First launched in 1969 by poet John Giorno, Dial-A-Poem began as a radical experiment: pick up the phone, dial a number, and hear a poem. Today, it's a global network. Working with partners around the world, Giorno Poetry Systems records contemporary poets reading in their native languages and makes their work available through freely accessible local phone numbers.

Theres kind of a previously, but it links to a 404 error for its principal link, and this link's surrounding Giorno Poetry Systems site seems well worth exploring.

Capital-ism

Feb. 22nd, 2026 08:07 pm
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Posted by chavenet

Guess the daily world capital in 6 tries. Each guess shows distance, a directional arrow, and matching attributes: Capitalle
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Posted by Vatnesine

I never made a pie like this but apparently it is STILL February and will be so for quite some time, and really something had to give. Here's the recipe I'm looking at: peanut butter pie My question is could I use marshmallow fluff instead of tru whip? What would that do to the pie?

This ingredient looks like the "fluffing" agent for the pie, as the other ingredients are all heavy and dense. Marshmallow fluff seems like a more physically stable ingredient (and possibly maybe less toxic? Idk, maybe not). What would be the impact of this substitution?
Or maybe "tru whip" is not as bad as I think? here's the site
I would use real whipped cream but I want this pie to last for a few days in the fridge without collapsing, and whipped cream collapses. (There are tricks to prevent this, i know)
umadoshi: (fancrone - china_shop)
[personal profile] umadoshi
Reading: Last week I finished Stephanie Burgis' Wooing the Witch Queen (fun!) and read Heated Rivalry. I opted to just skip straight to the actual HR novel rather than first reading the Scott/Kip novel, which worked out fine, since I also had that context from the show. I enjoyed it a fair bit, but now I'm in the awkward position of wanting to see the next chunk for Shane and Ilya but no more urgently than after I finished watching season 1 of the show. The choices now are a) read the entire series (presumably doubling back to actually read book 1), b) skip ahead and read The Long Game, or c) hold off entirely and wait for season 2 of the show.

I also read a few more volumes each of Hikaru no Go and The Kurosagi Corpse Delivery Service, but I'm still in rereading territory with both. (I think I've already read up to vol. 12 of Kurosagi, but for Hikaru, I think the odds are against me really realizing when I've hit new territory until I go to enter a volume in Goodreads and find it's not already on my Read list there.)

Watching: [personal profile] scruloose and I are caught up on both The Pitt and Frieren, and we finished Midnight Mass last weekend (a very solid, intense ending).

With my crunch time at work starting, it's not an ideal time for us to start a show that's a significant time commitment or that's going to leave me desperate to see a next episode when work is eating most or all of my evenings. It's possible this will result in me just showing [personal profile] scruloose Heated Rivalry, since it's apparently our key cultural export of the decade and all. *g* Only six episodes and I don't have to worry about being impatient to see what happens next or about being spoiled.

(I still don't feel actively fannish about HR at all, but am enjoying being adjacent to it and seeing all the fannish excitement and meta and such. I have saved many fic recs to my read-later list on A03, but have yet to actually read a single one [and may never, given how slowly I go through fic--there's still a steady stream of Guardian fic I haven't read that also goes on that list].)

Weathering/Working: We have what sounds like a significant nor'easter blizzard arriving at some point tomorrow, with heavy wet snow. Will this be where our luck fails for the season and we lose power for the first time? (I'm completely astonished that it hasn't happened yet. Probably it's not really because the generator and backup power are warding that off, like carrying an umbrella around...)

And of course the spring crunch is set to start tomorrow in the late afternoon, right around when the storm is likely to be in full swing. Will the weather have much impact? (Mainly, I guess, in terms of Those Who Speak all being able to make it there safely; I kinda hope that there's some kind of backup power in their actual building, but I don't know for sure one way or the other.)
trobadora: (Shen Wei/Zhao Yunlan - Hei Pao-gege)
[personal profile] trobadora
[personal profile] candyheartsex author reveals have happened! And here's the fic I wrote for [personal profile] facethestrange:

**

Title: in the darkness with you
Word count: 4,233
Fandom: 镇魂 | Guardian (TV)
Pairing: Shen Wei/Zhao Yunlan
Rating: Mature
Content tags: Blind Zhao Yunlan, First time, Hand-Feeding, Finger-Sucking, Clothed Sex, Zhao Yunlan's oral fixation, Episode Related, Episode 21, Missing Scene, Blindness Arc
A/N: Many thanks to [personal profile] china_shop for beta-reading.

Summary:

Zhao Yunlan woke to the smell of citrus, sweet and strong in the air. Without fully turning his face out of the pillow, he slitted open a sleep-heavy eye - to complete, unchanged darkness. Reality came crashing down like a landslide. Right: still blind.
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Posted by Art_Pot

Hello, I'm hoping to make 100 color swatches on watercolor paper during the 100 days of art challenge and am wondering what's the best way to stick them on the wall and then remove them latter?

This is a furnished rental, so I don't want to damage the wall paint or do anything that would cost me my deposit. The things I'm aware of and considering so far are painters tape(is it removable after 5 months?) and command hooks(but that could get expensive)

Please let me know what's worked for you all
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Posted by BostonTerrier

Metafilter user SemiSalt posted this last November:

I fear it's inevitable that AI owners will meet with private equity types who say "Nice AI you got there, but with some some paid ads and some product placement, you can be a billionaire by Christmas.


I read this morning that ChatGPT has been rolling out ads as of earlier this month!
Does this mean our searches and questions are being compiled and will be revealed to The Authorities if they come knock knock knockin' at A.I.'s door?
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Posted by cool breeze

A newly faulty Phillips 3.2 USB drive without a physical switch to set it to read-only is set in a read-only state. I do not know how the device got damaged: it worked fine until suddenly it did not. The goal is to erase the data and then destroy the USB drive.

I tried reformatting the device in Windows 10 Professional, which fails with a read-only error message. Linux Mint 22.3 seems to think it reformats it, but then hangs when it fails to be able to write to it.

In Windows I ran the DiSKPART utility as follows:

DISKPART> list disk
DISKPART> select disk 1
DISKPART> attributes disk

==>

Current Read-only State: Yes
Read-only: No
Boot Disk: No
Pagefile Disk: No
Hibernation File Disk: No
Crashdump Disk: No
Clustered Disk: No

DISKPART> attr dis clear readonly

==>

Disk attributes cleared successfully.

DISKPART> attr dis

==>

Current Read-only State: Yes
Read-only: No
Boot Disk: No
Pagefile Disk: No
Hibernation File Disk: No
Crashdump Disk: No
Clustered Disk: No

End result: USB Drive remains functionally read-only.

Various internet search results suggest trying a reset through the Registry Editor, but I could not find clear instructions with a path that seems to correlate with what comes up in my version of Registry Editor. (... and I do not want to muck about too much here and risk blowing the whole system up.)

If there is no effective remedy for this, how could I physically destroy the USB drive to destroy or eliminate access to the data on it?

This situation is a new one for me, and I tentatively conclude that USB drives might not be the most effective or secure devices for data backup? Am I right here, or is this situation a statistical fluke?

As always, many thanks for your always helpful suggestions and advice!
runpunkrun: girl in school uniform fixes her hair in a public restroom (just say when)
[personal profile] runpunkrun posting in [community profile] fancake
Fandom: Stranger Things
Pairings/Characters: Will Byers/Mike Wheeler
Rating: Explicit
Length: 59,047 words
Content Notes: Bullying and homophobia.
Creator Link: [archiveofourown.org profile] harriet_vane
Theme: Inept in Love, Pretend Couple, Friends to Lovers, Canon LGBTQ+ Characters

Summary: Will needs a date to his mom's wedding. Mike volunteers.


"I have an idea," says Mike.

Ice cubes form in Will's stomach. "How dangerous is it? Like, should I call Dustin to talk you down, or should I call Nancy to be ready to drive us to the hospital?"

"No," says Mike, "you can't tell anyone or it won't work."

"Or what won't work?" Will asks. It's like picking up a rock you know a spider will be under.

Mike gets up and closes Will's door. Hopper doesn't make them keep it open but sometimes Will does anyway, because every now and then lying around alone with Mike on his bed just makes his chest ache too much. If the door is open he can tell himself You can't do anything right now, someone will see.

Mike leans back against the door. His eyes are lit up with that special maniacal gleam that the Wheelers get right before they do something insane, like when Nancy says, "Then we have to go kill Vecna ourselves," or whatever. "Take me to the wedding," says Mike.

"Yeah," says Will slowly, "you'll be at the wedding. Obviously."

"As your date."

Reccer's Notes: They've fixed Hawkins' Upside Down problem (though this predates the final season), and it's the kids' senior year, and Will is worried his mom is worried about him, so Mike hatches a plan to be Will's (fake) date to Joyce and Hopper's wedding because of course he does. That means we've got Will pretending to pretend he's into Mike and Mike playing gay chicken against himself and...losing? winning? both?? Neither of them is doing a great job (or any job) communicating, but their fake relationship thrives and does what all the best fake relationships do, becomes real. A sweet friends-to-lovers romance with just the right amount of agonizing feelings.

Fanwork Link: Roll To Charm Person
smallhobbit: (Default)
[personal profile] smallhobbit posting in [community profile] fan_flashworks
Title: Well, it is Raining!
Fandom: Hercule Poirot
Rating: G
Length: 348 words
Summary: Hastings comes in very wet; Poirot does not approve.

I ♡ Tomb Raiderlikes

Feb. 22nd, 2026 04:37 pm
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Posted by ChurchHatesTucker

Armed only with a pack of playing cards, delve into the Tomb of the Four Kings and recover their treasure hordes. Read the rules (PDF, Spanish PDF, Korean PDF,) or watch a demonstration*.

Dungeon Solitaire: Tomb of the Four Kings (Tomb hereafter) is a "Roguelike Solitaire"† game playable with a standard deck of cards. It was released by Matthew Lowes in 2015. Tomb Rules Summary:
  1. Uses all 52 standard cards and one Joker.
    • Set aside the Hearts pip cards (not the Ace) and use them to track health (10-2.) When you go below 2, you are dead.
    • Cards are valued at their literal number. Cards without numbers (including Aces) are special.
  2. Encounters are determined by dealing until a numbered card appears. An Action is (usually) determined by dealing until another numbered card appears.
    • If the Action card meets or exceeds the value of the Encounter card, the encounter is successful and you take any loot, including diamonds played as Action cards.
    • You must leave at least one card behind to mark your route.
    • After each encounter, turn over the remaining cards and start a new encounter in its own pile.
  3. Diamonds are treasure.
    • If dealt as an encounter it's trapped and you have one chance to equal or beat the number.
    • Smaller Action cards result in [the difference] health damage.
  4. Spades are monsters.
    • You must keep dealing Action cards until you are successful.
    • Smaller Action cards result in [the difference] health damage.
    • At any point one treasure card (at least equal to the monster) can be dropped from your hand as a distraction while you escape.
      • Kings and the Joker can be dropped and are valued as 10 and 6.
  5. Clubs are sealed doors.
    • You have one chance to equal or beat the number.
    • Smaller Action cards result in lost time. Discard [the difference] cards from the deck. Check for and play any Aces. (They still count as discards.)
  6. Faces, Aces, and the Joker are special cards.
    • Aces represent your torches going out. Set them aside.
      • Once all four are extinguished, you are dead (presumably eaten by a grue.)
    • The Joker is a Scroll of Light. It is loot in an encounter.
      • When the fourth Ace appears, you can play the Joker in its place and put the Ace at the bottom of the deck.
    • Kings are Treasure Hordes. They are loot in an encounter.
    • Queens are Divine Blessings. They remain with the encounter.
      • They automatically resolve the encounter in your favor, whether they are delt before or after the encounter card. Multiple Queens have no additional effect.
    • Jacks are Skills and are immediately taken into your hand. They are usually played in lieu of an Action card. They remain in the encounter after playing.
      • Diamonds defeats any trapped treasure.
      • Spades defeats any monster.
      • Hearts dodges one blow from a monster.
      • Clubs defeats any sealed door. It may be played after an unsuccessful action card, and avoids any discards.
  7. Determine when to turn back.
    • The return route is equal to the number of encounters up to, but not including, the turning point. These are played below the delve route.
  8. If you get all four kings and survive, you won. For scoring purposes:
    • Diamond pip cards are worth [their number]
    • Kings are worth 10
    • The Joker is worth 6 (unplayed)
    • There is also a rule about how to use the score for gambling(!)
Notes: Until you've collected a Jack or some treasure, there's no real decision making... except for when to turn back. Fortunately the tension of that decision—and then the anxiety of making it back—keeps you engaged. It also has a great visual narrative in the trail of encounter cards. It's a hard game to actually win, and it's possible to die on the first hand, but that makes just surviving the dungeon feel like a victory. So, when should you turn back? Assuming you resolve every encounter in two cards, playing all the pip cards will get you 13 encounters (with one card left over) giving you seven encounters to turn (since you don't repeat the turning point.) The four queens give you another couple encounters, as will playing the jacks. You could extend it a bit more by dropping treasure, but presumably you don't want to do that. So, consider nine encounters the absolute max, and probably start thinking about the turn around six. Of course, things like how many cards you already burned through and whether you have the Scroll of Light will factor into your decision. (Note that a perfect game is possible.) Tomb takes up a fair amount of space when played as demonstrated, but you can reduce that significantly by overlapping completed encounters, which are only used as counters for your retreat. You could even reduce them to a single pile by only keeping one card from each encounter and discarding a card from that pile for each retreat encounter. Game designer Kendall Woffinden takes it to another level with a tableless variant played in one hand. It's surprisingly workable, although it does make an alteration to the rules by fixing the retreat to five encounters. There have been some other variant rules floated. Game designer/publisher Tim Snider's proposal to trade an ace for an extra hit point seems ill-advised, but having the monsters also take damage sounds reasonable. John Payne offers rules for different modes and alternate decks (like the Rook deck.) Woffinden has a combination of ideas in his Curses Variant. SUCCESSORS Labyrinth of Souls In 2016, Lowes launched a successful Kickstarter for an expanded version called Dungeon Solitaire: Labyrinth of Souls.‡ This included a 90 card custom deck, based on tarot cards, with black & white illustrations by illustrator/fantasy cartographer Josephe Vandel. The rules have a "Basic Version," which is essentially Tomb played on a tarot deck that has been winnowed down to match a standard deck of cards. Lowes released videos of playthroughs of the Basic Version, which also work for Tomb. He is using the Labyrinth cards, which are French-suited, but he refers to them by their Latin equivalents: wands (♣,) cups (♥,) swords (♠,) and coins (♦.) In the first video he gets a decent win. In the second he just manages to survive after collecting three kings. In the third he quickly retreats after just two encounters. The Labyrinth rules also include an "Expert Game," which expands to use an entire tarot deck, and an "Advanced Game" (including several variants,) which uses the ten "Extra Arcana" cards of their custom deck (or a ten sided die.) For playthoughs of these, see Lowes' Dungeon Solitaire playlist. Game designer Geoffrey Greer has some house rules for the more advanced versions of Labyrinth, which aim at giving the player a little more choice. (He also provides a PDF of a checklist for use during a game, something which he admits is "quite literally counting cards.") Similarly, "Bruno from Quebec" has extensive house rules and materials that Lowes posted on his site. Novels
"A series of dark fantasy novels inspired by the world of Labyrinth of Souls: Dungeon Solitaire."
Dungeon Solitaire has a literary universe! Oddly, I couldn't find a complete list anywhere. Even the publisher's site only lists ten of them. Most of them are available on Amazon, some on other vendor sites. For the record, here are all the ones I'm aware of, listed in publication order:
  1. Benediction Denied: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Elizabeth Engstrom (June 28 2017)
  2. Symphony of Ruin: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Christina Lay (July 25, 2017)
  3. The End of All Things: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Matthew Lowes (August 29, 2017)
  4. Littlest Death: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Eric Witchey (September 30, 2017)
  5. The Door of Tireless Pursuit: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Stephen T. Vessels (October 30, 2017)
  6. The Snake's Song: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel (The Celestial Fragments Book 1)
    • by Mary E. Lowd (March 29, 2018)
  7. Immortal's Penance: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by L.A. Alber (October 28, 2018)
  8. Mountain of Ashes: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by John Reed (April 1, 2019)
  9. Bayou's Lament: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Cheryl Owen-Wilson (August 4, 2020)
  10. The Mole Train: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by John Reed (December 20, 2020)
  11. The Ruptured Firmament: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Stephen T. Vessels (February 1, 2021)
  12. The Bee's Waltz: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel (The Celestial Fragments Book 2)
    • by Mary E. Lowd (November 7, 2021)
  13. Aftermath: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel
    • by Cynthia Ray (June 21, 2022)
  14. The Otter's Wings: A Labyrinth of Souls Novel (The Celestial Fragments Book 3)
    • by Mary E. Lowd (October 30, 2022)
Devil's Playground In 2018, Lowes launched another successful Kickstarter for Dungeon Solitaire: Devil's Playground‡. It is its own standalone game—with one and two player variants—as well as an expansion to Labyrinth. It has a new 54 card deck with color illustrations, again by Josephe Vandel. There are also rules for Dungeon War, a wargame using the cards, and a guide to fortune telling with them. There are example playthroughs on Lowe's Dungeon Solitaire playlist. Retrospective In 2020, at the beginning of Covid lockdown, Lowes published a six part retrospective of Dungeon Solitaire. Parts two and three are about the design processes of Tombs/Labyrinth and Playground. Part five is about the novels. *Tom makes minor mistakes: He plays the Scroll of Light before the final torch appears, which doesn't change the game but wastes a potential six points. He also leaves treasure he's entitled to when playing a Queen or Jack. One card must be left behind, but a Queen or Jack suffices.I looked at the Roguelike Solitaire game Scoundrel and its descendents previously.Currently Lowes' Games Page has links to purchase his rulebooks (in paperback or PDF) and the different decks (now available in tarot size as well as the original poker size.) Note that the Labyrinth decks come with a PDF of the Basic rules, equivalent to Tomb.

Help me out of a jam

Feb. 22nd, 2026 03:58 pm
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Posted by bookworm4125

Looking for jam/jelly recommendations for baking.

I would love your recommendations for jams/jellies mostly for cookies but also for oat bar type recipes too. Sometimes I really like bakery cookies where they're butter cookies sandwiched with jam and partly dipped in chocolate when the jam is kind of a little more "stiff" and kind of artificial tarting? But I also love making similar cookies like thumbprints with really good high-quality jam. Only looking for store bought. Looking for brands rather than flavors (although I guess if you have favorite flavors, feel free to share those too!).
lilly_the_kid: (Default)
[personal profile] lilly_the_kid posting in [community profile] fandom_fanvids
Title: One Foot In Front Of The Other
Fandom: The Long Walk
Music: One Foot In Front Of The Other by Walk The Moon
Characters/Pairing: Ray/Peter; ensemble
Summary: Taking this one step at a time.
Warnings: graphic violence

Here on AO3

"An experiment in language change"

Feb. 22nd, 2026 11:50 am
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Posted by Kattullus

How far back in time can you understand English? is a story by Colin Gorrie, where every section is written according to the grammar, vocabulary and orthography of a previous century. The story starts in the year 2000 and ends in the year 1000, and different readers stop understanding at different points. Gorrie writes a newsletter about the history of English called the Dead Language Society.
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