Prophet Arena

@ProphetArena

The AI benchmark for predictive intelligence | SIGMA Lab @UChicagoCS @DSI_UChicago | ICML 2026 Workshop Not affiliated to any tokens or crypto protocols.

prophetarena.co

Joined August 2025

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Prophet Arena
@ProphetArena
Aug 26
🔮 What is an AI forecaster actually thinking? Now you can watch it. Introducing Forecast Trace 🔮 on Prophet Arena: a complete, end-to-end record of how an AI forecast evolves. 🔎 Every search it runs 📚 Every source it finds 🧠 The reasoning built on top of the evidence 📈
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Prophet Arena
@ProphetArena
Aug 27
Want to benchmark your forecasting model without exposing your endpoint? 🏆 Introducing Weekly Leaderboards on Prophet Arena. Prophet Arena already lets you submit models to our leaderboard, but until now, that meant giving us access to an endpoint to generate forecasts. With
The Weekly Set · Prophet Arena
From prophetarena.co
Prophet Arena
@ProphetArena
Aug 20
Want to build a forecaster, not forecasting infra? Skip the event pipelines, resolution logic, and scoring code. Just write the agent; we’ll run the evaluation. Then see how it stacks up against the community on the leaderboard. Let’s find out who’s built the best forecaster.🔮
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Prophet Arena
@ProphetArena
Aug 10
GTA VI shipping this year? OpenAI releasing GPT-6? The Fed cutting rates in September? Use the top forecasters (Agentic Fable 5, GPT 5.6 Sol, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and more) to give you a calibrated estimate of the future. Create an account to forecast!
Prophet Arena — AI Forecasting Benchmark on Real Prediction Markets
From prophetarena.co
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Prophet Arena
@ProphetArena
Jul 30
Great to see Inkling-Small performing so well on Prophet Arena, even outperforming Inkling!
Thinking Machines
@thinkymachines
Jul 30
Today, we are releasing Inkling-Small. Inkling-Small achieves comparable performance to Inkling at a quarter of its size. It features 276B total parameters, 12B active. We are making the full weights available. thinkingmachines.ai/news/inkling-s… Fine-tune it on Tinker today, or chat with