Log inSign up
Image
user avatar
Lucas Martin Calderon
@lmc_security
founder & ceo @kash_bot | prediction markets | angel investor
London, England
Joined March 2022
886
Following
3,401
Followers
RepliesMedia
  • Pinned
    user avatar
    Lucas Martin Calderon
    @lmc_security
    Sep 20, 2025
    why did i become a prediction markets maxi ? (opinionated take) ai will endanger capitalism, as the output of elite education with raw intellect will become globally available and cheap ai will endanger manual labor, as the human capital required for construction, mechanics,
  • user avatar
    Lucas Martin Calderon
    @lmc_security
    Aug 7
    prediction markets roundup - polymarket is reportedly in early talks to raise $1 billion at a valuation exceeding $20 billion - kalshi launched a public companies hub designed to attract equity traders to event markets - the new york yankees named polymarket their official
    Image
    GIF
  • user avatar
    Lucas Martin Calderon
    @lmc_security
    Aug 6
    prediction markets were meant to be social. most of them turned solitary and heavy instead. building a social-native one meant making the people visible. that’s what the circle view does: - who’s with you - who’s against you - who's an expert at what simple. visible. a lot
    Image
    00:00
  • user avatar
    Lucas Martin Calderon
    @lmc_security
    Aug 5
    you cannot build permissionless prediction markets at scale if resolution still depends on humans or one model, one run, and one answer. temperature 0 is not determinism. at the edge of a model’s knowledge, forcing it down a single path can produce the same failure repeatedly.
    Image
    00:00
  • user avatar
    Lucas Martin Calderon
    @lmc_security
    Aug 4
    prediction markets roundup - combined monthly trading volume across kalshi and polymarket reached an all-time high of $50.6 billion in july - state regulators have prevailed in 23 out of 29 preliminary court decisions involving state lawsuits against prediction market operators
    Image
    GIF