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Let's start a cute dog thread... Whose got a pup photo they wanna share?
(((Harry Enten)))
92.5K posts
(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway.
Host of CNN's Margins of Error, a podcast about statistical stories. cnn.it/3A8VJAn
I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.
Born February 29
Joined April 2010
- "Voter fraud" is too quickly becoming a synonym for "result I don't like".
- Trump didn't break Kimmel; he energized him. Viewership of Kimmel's monologue has already broken records. Already 7 million people have viewed it on YouTube. That's by far the most watched Kimmel video on YouTube in the last 6 months. The median Kimmel video gets ~240k views.
00:00 - Biden's closer in Alaska than Trump is in Pennsylvania.
- JD Vance is making history as the least liked VP nominee (non-incumbent) since 1980 following his/her party's convention. He's the first to have a net negative favorable rating. Not surprising given how weak he ran in Ohio in 2022. Far worse than the average Ohio Republican.
00:00 - Just 6% of Greenlanders want to join the United States. There are more people who think we faked the moon landing (~10%). 85% of Greenlanders are opposed. Meanwhile, less than 30% of Americans want Greenland to join the U.S. I've rarely seen anything so unpopular.
00:00 - Kamala Harris' popularity (net favorability) has climbed 15 pts to positive territory in 2 months of campaigning... She's more popular than Biden or Trump. Harris is also slightly outperforming Democrats on the generic ballot. Statistically, she's been a pretty good candidate.
00:00 - I've really cut back on tweeting political stuff, but I'll just say this. No incumbent president with an approval rating north of 75% in Gallup polling within his own party has ever come close to losing renomination. Biden is at 82%.
- Kamala Harris seems to be on track to put up the best numbers ever for a Democratic presidential nominee among white voters with a college degree & among all voters with a college degree. Those with a college degree are likely to make up a record high share of the electorate.
00:00 - Biden has been running for president for 501 days by count... He's been ahead of Trump for each of those 501 days. No challenger has ever led for that long.
- My personal thoughts on the Covid-19 vaccines are simple: I got my first shot on the first day I was eligible. I got my booster on the first day I was eligible. I think the vaccines are arguably the greatest scientific achievement of the 21st century.
- Trump has no viable path to victory. Every single other candidate in modern history in his position has long since conceded the race by this point.
- Look is Joe Biden leading? Yes. Is it close at this time? No. Are there any bright spots for Trump in the polling? No.
- Biden won 306 electoral votes. He won by ~7 million votes nationally. The allegations the President makes about irregularities/fraud are unsubstantiated and a lie. It's absolutely nuts that 1 month after the election Trump has still not conceded.
