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David Lundgren, CMT CFA
960 posts
David Lundgren, CMT CFA
@dlundgren3333
Portfolio Manager. CMT, CFA (in that order). Student of history, investing in present, optimistic about future. "Fill the Gap" podcast. (posts are not advice)
- Not sure if this is funny, scary, or something else entirely, but I asked CoPilot if #SMCI had issued any new stock in 2024, and this is the reply, which rivals any sell-side hype machine I've ever seen in my 30+ years in the business:
- (1/6) Food for thought: In July, the S&P finished up more than 8%. I looked back to 1940 to see how many times the S&P had recorded a 1 month gain in excess of 7.5%. While I wasn't expecting a lot of them, I was surprised to find only 41 instances (4% of months).
- So many investors, analysts and reporters believe the market is "whistling past the graveyard", blatantly ignoring the smoldering heap of negative macro data. This quote captures the sentiment well:
- I am very excited to share the news that I have recently joined Little Harbor Advisors, LLC in Marblehead, Ma. as a portfolio manager. When I left Wellington Management® in December 2020, I didn’t have a clear plan for my next venture...
- Who said this? "If you are intelligent, the market will teach you caution and fortitude, sharpen your wits, and reduce your pride. If you are foolish and refuse to learn a lesson, it will ridicule you, laugh you to scorn, break you, and toss you on to the rubbish-heap."
- Thanks for having me on your Twitter Space @gnoble79. I knew this already, having dialed in many times before, but one of the best groups of market participants out there...fantastic conversation, great questions! 👇👇👇
- (1/11) In Technical Analysis (TA), trend following is the equivalent of growth investing in Fundamental Analysis (FA). Further, in TA, mean reversion analysis ("overbought" and "oversold") is the equivalent of valuation ("overvalued" & "undervalued") in FA.
- Hard to embrace anything remotely resembling a bull market thesis when the long side of the momentum factor looks like this...
- "The second in golf you start thinking two, three, four shots ahead, it's over. Markets are similar. You have to deal in the here and now. The second you start getting two, three steps ahead, your going to lose your way." A great discussion with @verrone_chris Chris Verrone, CMT!A brand-new episode of our official Association podcast, Fill the Gap, is out today! We've got special guest Chris Verrone, CMT, head of Technical Strategy & Macro Research at Strategas this month. Listen on your favorite podcast service or on our website: go.cmtassociation.org/ftge9
- New relative lows from both large and small cap growth vs their respective value piers. I far prefer to buy exciting growth companies but "for everything there is a season", and for every trend there is a reason. For trend followers, our task is not to judge, but to listen.
- This was one of the best market discussions I've had, led by well grounded, knowledgeable questions by @Pdunuwila of the @TheChartReport. Thanks so much for having me on as a guest on Trendlines Over Headlines Patrick! #trendfollowing #technicalanalysis #momentuminvestingCatch the latest episode of Trendlines over Headlines! This week, @dlundgren3333 joins us to make sense of the markets. We discuss trend following, breadth, AI stocks, and more! Link to full episode 👇 youtu.be/LI0FltCDCPE
00:00 - Replying to @dlundgren3333...we now have both indices finally giving us a uniform signal...unfortunately, it's not a good one. #dowtheory #trendfollowing #bearmarket
- But, doesn't the market bottom 6 to 9 months before the economy? 🤫 motrcmr.com #trendfollowing #momentuminvesting #BullMarket
