It's now official.
The #WallStreetConsensus will soon be a book - about the return of the transformative state.
There may be some Taylor Swift/Travis Kelce macrofinancial jokes (she inflation targeting, he Big Finance) in it.
Numerous white professors have been caught faking data or plagiarizing over the years. In every single case they resigned in disgrace, and their papers were retracted. "If Arday were white", that is what would have happened to him, and not a single leftist would be writing
in 2017, Andy Haldane's speech on Productivity Puzzles did not mention fiscal or public debt once.
today, in his arch fiscal conservative turn, he implies there is causality, to push for a derisking state (only spend if it crowds in private capital).
ft.com/content/117e3a…
some of us with memory going back to Lagarde's 2020 'here to target spreads' could think, oh Reinhart-Rogoff but with random dots, or, more cyclically, with election looming, a centrist scaremongering in response to @JLMelenchon
Useful to summarize the discussion about debt and spreads in a graph (based on work with @pmbruera and @GonHuertas. Working paper out soon).
The blue line shows the “good equilibrium” if investors are rationally optimistic. At very low debt, no risk of default, no spread, then
I don't know why The Economist has suddenly turned on Daron but I will say I recently enjoyed looking over this working paper from him which does not seem entirely unrelated. nber.org/papers/w35336