BaseWinner

3,918 posts

BaseWinner

@BaseWinner

Crunching MLB data into actionable betting information.

Joined June 2009

BaseWinner
@BaseWinner
Aug 19
🚨 A first look at the new Basewinner MLB Simulation Center. We went back to our August 5 MLB Division Value Board to see what's happened — and more importantly, what the Monte Carlo simulations see now. ⚾ 2,000 Monte Carlo simulations 📊 Current August records 🎯 Basewinner
basewinner.com
August MLB Division Odds Update: Inside the New Basewinner Simulation Center
Two weeks ago, we published our post-trade deadline **August Division Winner Value Board**, using 2,000 Monte Carlo simulations to identify where the Basewinner probabilities differed from the...
BaseWinner
@BaseWinner
Aug 11
📊 August Division Winner Value Board — August 11th Update We reran the August schedule 2,000 times and went division-by-division against today's market. ⭐ BEST VALUES AL East: NYY +1200 | BW +740 AL Central: CLE +950 | BW +569 AL West: HOU +265 | BW +228 NL East: PHI +130 |
basewinner.com
August Division Winner Value Board - August 11th Update
The August Division Winner Value Board is back for its August 11th update—and with 10 days of results now in the books, the gaps between the standings, our simulations and the betting market are...
BaseWinner
@BaseWinner
Aug 11
📊 August Most Wins Market Update Our opening card is gaining traction: ⭐ PHI +1100 — Best Value 📈 ATL +1200 — Value 👀 TOR +5000 — Watch 🚫 TEX +1000 — Fade 10 days later, we reran August 2,000 times. 🔥 BEST VALUE PHI +800 | BW Fair +336 🎯 MARKET NAILED IT TB +210 | BW
basewinner.com
August Most Wins Market: Phillies Still the Value as the Rays Take Control
The August Most Wins market is getting more interesting by the day. Ten days into the month, our opening card has gained some traction: Philadelphia was our favorite value, Atlanta was another team...
BaseWinner
@BaseWinner
Aug 5
📊 August Division Winner Value Board — Post-Trade Deadline Edition The first week of August is complete, so I rebuilt the ratings, updated the standings and reran the remainder of the month 2,000 times. A few things stood out... 📈 Phillies: 69.8% to post the best August
basewinner.com
August Division Winner Value Board - August 5th update
The trade deadline is behind us, the first week of August is in the books, and it's time for our first update to the August Division Winner Value Board. Using updated post-trade deadline team ratings...
BaseWinner
@BaseWinner
Aug 4
📊 August Most Wins Market — Post-Trade-Deadline Update This is the update I've been waiting for. The model no longer starts from zero. Every update now combines: ✅ Actual August results ✅ Rebuilt post-trade-deadline component ratings ✅ 2,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the
basewinner.com
August Most Wins Market: Post-Trade-Deadline Update
This is the update I've been looking forward to since launching the August simulations. With the trade deadline behind us, the Basewinner engine now begins with each team's actual August record,...