In 2022, Mike Beckley and I predicted US would enter a danger zone in the Western Pacific in late 2020s. Now the late 2020s are here, and the danger zone is global in it scope. How America's crisis of strategic insolvency went critical.
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The eyes of the world will be on Washington next month, when Xi and Trump meet. But real story of US-China relations is being written in the Western Pacific, where Beijing is pushing hard--and not clear how effectively the US is pushing back.
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Russia helps Iran hit US bases. Ukraine strikes Iranian ships. New North Korean troops may be headed to help Putin fight Ukraine. It's not a full-on global conflict--yet. But it is a world full of interlocking crises, rivalries, and wars.
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