INTRODUCING: PREDICTION MARKET ELO
Some traders consistently win on Polymarket, bet after bet.
We’ve created prediction market performance ratings (Elo) on Arkham Intel to help you find them. Here’s how it works:
MORGAN STANLEY IS BUYING BITCOIN
Morgan Stanley bought $13.2M of Bitcoin this week. They have not sold Bitcoin since May.
Will they keep buying for the rest of this month?
How did one trader turn $316 into over $2M on Robinhood Chain?
Arkham data shows how address 0x4A5 bought CASHCAT at a $7.4K market cap, rode the token over 6,000x higher, and still holds 85% of the position.
Read our full on-chain breakdown below:
ANSEM LOST $100M IN 3 DAYS
Ansem is down $135M from a peak of $260M 3 days ago. This is mainly due to his holdings of $ANSEM which are down over 50% from peak.
Will he make it back?
Someone just bought $35M of ETH.
A fresh whale wallet withdrew $35.92M of ETH from Galaxy Digital, and they are already up $900K on the purchase. Their purchase patterns match known Bitmine purchase patterns.
Is this Tom Lee?
He was the biggest loser of the World Cup last night.
Neither team scored another goal, and “muchobliged” lost $5 million.
That was his largest Polymarket loss ever.
HE BET $5M ON ONE MORE GOAL
This guy just bet $5 MILLION on there being 3 or more goals in the France vs Morocco match.
Currently, France is up 2-0 with 5 minutes left. If there’s one more goal, he wins $10M. Otherwise it’s a zero. Will he make it?
HE BET $5M ON ONE MORE GOAL
This guy just bet $5 MILLION on there being 3 or more goals in the France vs Morocco match.
Currently, France is up 2-0 with 5 minutes left. If there’s one more goal, he wins $10M. Otherwise it’s a zero. Will he make it?
This wallet linked to Garrett Jin is long $80 MILLION of BTC.
0x92ea is connected to the same Hyperunit Whale cluster that was associated with Garrett Jin, and made $200M shorting the 10/10 crash before being liquidated.
He’s now down $17M longing BTC. Will he make it back or
SpaceX just moved Bitcoin for the first time in 6 months.
A tagged SpaceX address sent a small BTC test transaction between two company-controlled wallets. Test transfers like these can precede larger treasury activity - but not always.
Our research team breaks down what
THIS GUY TURNED $300 INTO $2 MILLION ON ROBINHOOD CHAIN
Trader 0x4A5 bought $316 of CASHCAT when it was at a market cap of $7.4K. CASHCAT is now the leading coin on Robinhood Chain at over $120M MCap. He still holds 85% of his stack and is up over $2.17M.
Will he sell? Or will