AtlasIntel (@atlas

AtlasIntel

1,189 posts

AtlasIntel

@atlas_intel

Data intelligence. High-frequency polling. Big data analytics.

Joined February 2020

Pinned
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Nov 8, 2024
POLLSTER ACCURACY 2024 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION National Popular Vote AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the US Presidential Election 2nd time in a row, both at the national level and in key swing states. Please note: margins may change with the final vote count, but
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Nov 3, 2024
ATLAS POLL - SWING STATES Trump leads in the swing states, with particularly significant margins in Arizona and Nevada. The race remains tight in the key states of the Rust Belt (MI, WI, and PA).
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Sep 14, 2024
📊 ATLAS POLL - US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Trump's advantage over Harris expands to 2.9pp in the national popular vote. In the previous AtlasIntel release in July, the difference was 2.1 points. 🔴 Trump: 50.9% (+0,8) 🔵 Harris: 48.0% (-) 09/11-09/12, 1775 respondents, 2pp MOE
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Nov 5, 2024
ATLAS POLLS - SWING STATES Among the battleground states, Trump leads in Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina, while narrowing the 2020 margins in Virginia and Minnesota. However, Georgia and Pennsylvania, two of the most valuable states in the Electoral College, are close.
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Oct 19, 2024
📊 ATLAS POLL - U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 🔴 Trump: 50.7% (-0.2) 🔵 Harris: 47.6% (+0.3) ⚪ Others/Don’t know: 1.7% (-0.2)
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Nov 3, 2024
ATLAS POLL - AMERICAN ELECTIONS Kamala Harris's support remains stable since the launch of her campaign. Trump shows a slight fluctuation, reaching 49% in voting intention. 🔴 Trump: 49% 🔵 Harris: 47.2% ⚪ Others/undecided: 3.8%
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Oct 31, 2024
📊ATLAS POLLS - SWING STATES Harris leads in only one of the 7 decisive swing states for the Electoral College outcome: Wisconsin. Trump's advantage over his opponent is most significant in states such as AZ, NV and NC. The race is tight in the Rust Belt swing states.
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Oct 29, 2024
📊ATLAS POLL - U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS National voting intentions show Trump leading by 2.5 percentage points, with Harris remaining at the same level since she assumed her candidacy. 🔴 Trump: 49.5% 🔵 Harris: 47% ⚪ Other/Undecided: 3.5%
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Nov 5, 2024
ATLAS POLL - U.S. ELECTIONS In the final Atlas poll before the election, the gap between Trump and Harris has narrowed to just 1.1 percentage point. 🔴 Trump: 49.2% 🔵 Harris: 48.1% ⚪ Others/Undecided: 2.7%
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Sep 15, 2024
We do know a couple of things about how to adjust our samples by race @USA_Polling
Polling USA
@USA_Polling
Sep 14, 2024
lmfao wait a 70% white sampling? Alright, yeah I see how an R +4 came out of this poll
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Oct 29, 2024
📊ATLAS POLLS - SWING STATES The latest Atlas polls in the swing states show significant leads for Trump in Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. Nevada, Wisconsin, and North Carolina show differences of less than 1 percentage point between the candidates.
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Oct 31, 2024
📊ATLAS POLL - U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS Trump maintains a 1.9% lead in the national popular vote, while Kamala Harris's support numbers have remained virtually unchanged since her candidacy was made official. 🔴 Trump: 49.1% 🔵 Harris: 47.2% ⚪ Other/Undecided: 3.7%
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
Apr 4, 2021
AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 US Presidential Cycle with an average error of 2.2 pts.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Mar 25, 2021
Replying to @NateSilver538
Finally, here's how the most prolific pollsters fared in the general election. The best-performing pollster was AtlasIntel! Second was Trafalgar! Yeah, they incorrectly had Trump winning a few states, but they were close on the margins, and that's the better metric.
AtlasIntel
@atlas_intel
May 8, 2025
Atlas Poll 1️⃣ 2025 Polish presidential election First round (Valid votes) Karol Nawrocki (PiS): 29.1% Rafał Trzaskowski (PO): 28.9% Nawrocki and Trzaskowski are tied within the margin of error (±1 p.p.), and both candidates hold a clear lead of over 10 percentage points ahead