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Austin Lyons
Creative Strategies, Inc
4,356 posts
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Austin Lyons
Creative Strategies, Inc
@austinsemis
Substack: chipstrat.com Podcast: @semidoped Daily Takes: semidoped.com Semis Analyst: @creativestrat
chipstrat.com
Joined September 2007
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  • Pinned
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Jul 3
    DRAM demand is bifurcated - datacenters: inelastic - consumers: elastic Means when DRAM prices go up, consumer demand will go down But inelastic datacenter market gobbles up all the surplus supply In the meantime, inflation for consumers Yes, more supply coming online
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    Semi Doped
    @semidoped
    Jul 3
    Memory is eating the world When consumers feel the heat, you know its a problem. While big-3 memory companies are enjoying sweet-sweet profit margins…the rest of the electronics market is cracking under pricing pressure. - GoPro is more like GoingUnder - Apple products 10-30%
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Sep 29, 2025
    Insane precision from $ASML in this video. Watch from ~1:30 onward "Fun fact: the movement of the reticle stage and wafer stage are synced, but *light speed has to be taken into account*. The reticle stage needs to move slightly earlier, since it can shift more than 100
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Oct 14, 2025
    $META likes big racks. With $AMD MI450 inside.
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Oct 20, 2025
    “A lot of attention is given to compute, memory and networking in an AI data center. What gets less attention is the design of high capacity storage for AI workloads.”
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Sep 18, 2025
    $INTC Fundraising Tour (LBT's Version): 8/18 - SoftBank ($2B @ $23) 8/22 - US Gov't ($5.7B @ $20.47) 9/18 - Nvidia ($5B @ $23.28) Featuring special guests ("my good friends") Masa Son, Howard Lutnick, Jensen Huang. Where does the tour bus pull up next? $NVDA
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Nov 11, 2025
    $AMD sees >$1T TAM in data center by 2030
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Oct 21, 2025
    $CRDO example setup for $NVDA Rubin NVL144. Lots of opportunity with these high-density racks. 🧵
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Aug 25, 2025
    At @hotchipsorg, someone asked if Intel 18A was on track. Don Soltis from $INTC literally held up a Clearwater Forest SoC and basically said “Yes...this was built on 18A. Everything we’re talking about for Clearwater Forest is on 18A... It’s real, or I wouldn’t be here..."
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  • user avatar
    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Sep 10, 2025
    Hock also believes 1) Networking is the bottleneck at 1M+ clusters 2) Networking is harder than designing XPUs/GPUs 3) Broadcom is better at networking (presumably, better than $NVDA Spectrum-X, Infiniband, NVLink) $AVGO
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Sep 10, 2025
    Hock Tan splits AI into just two $100B+ markets: 1) Foundation model labs 2) Everyone else $AVGO Broadcom is betting on #1 only. Tan gives a nice explanation of why merchant GPUs are great for #2
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Sep 28, 2025
    Toured the $INTC fab in AZ. 18A is real. Saw big machines. Wore the bunny suit. Lots of fun. 🇺🇸 Thanks @intel
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Jul 18, 2025
    Check out this footage of ASML's 2nm EUV tool in the Rapidus 2nm fab:
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Jul 18, 2025
    Rapidus Achieves Significant Milestone at its State-of-the-Art Foundry with Prototyping of Leading-Edge 2nm GAA Transistors: First prototypes successfully demonstrate electrical characteristics as the company continues to hit targets leading up to 2027 mass-production TOKYO,
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Aug 12, 2025
    WOW, update your financial models!!! $CRWV implies a 7-year useful life for GPUs. H100s & A100s still earn $ after training contracts end, repurposed for inference. To be fair, Jensen has been saying this all along :) $CRWV $NVDA @CoreWeave @nvidia
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Nov 4, 2025
    $AMD CEO says CPU TAM increasing due to Gen AI. "Many customers are now planning substantially larger CPU build outs over the coming quarters to support increased demands from AI, serving as a powerful new catalyst for our server business."
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    Austin Lyons
    Creative Strategies, Inc
    @austinsemis
    Aug 28, 2025
    $MRVL down 12% after hours. Earnings call was dominated by tough questions on the custom ASIC business. Here are some of the Q&As, styled by AI. A bit dramatic in the styling... but you’ll get the gist.
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