Caliph (@fieldviolence) / X

Caliph

890 posts

Caliph

@fieldviolence

prev @context, founder @polyrouter

Joined December 2024

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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Feb 11
Context is the first prediction market built for agents. And now we're the first prediction market to build our API from the ground up with agents in mind. Soon, any AI agent will be able to set up a wallet, trade, and create markets out of the box. DM for early access :)
Context
@context
Feb 11
The Context API is coming. Built for the agentic future of prediction markets. DM for early access.
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Sep 16, 2025
How much $$$ would Professor Jiang make if bet on prediction markets? I analyzed his predictions and backtested them against real markets on @Kalshi and @Polymarket to see how he would've performed. Let's break down his lectures, and get his PNL (spoiler: he's printing) 1/🧵
Caliph
@fieldviolence
Oct 6, 2025
Introducing PolyRouter, the easiest way to build on Prediction Markets. We've worked closely with PM builders to solve their biggest pain point: integrating and managing the vast arrays of data across @Kalshi, @Polymarket and more. Waitlist here 👉 polyrouter.io
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Sep 19, 2025
I've been working on a Prediction Market API router that gives you normalized market data from @Kalshi, @Polymarket, and more with one API key The most time consuming task for any PM dev is managing the vastly different API structures across different exchanges Not anymore 👇
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Nov 3, 2025
if you're an engineer in prediction markets I am BEGGING you to mess around with this and make PM specific environments. the future of PM's is not human traders, it's agents. They'll be the ones market making and providing liquidity for everyone billion dollar opporunity
will brown
@willccbb
Nov 3, 2025
creating an environment with verifiers is as simple as writing a load_environment function and filling out a pyproject.toml, both of which are initialized for you when you do `prime env init` environments are packages, and can be used with prime-rl, skyrl, tinker, and more :)
Caliph
@fieldviolence
Nov 2, 2025
Historical Order Books for Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless, and more are coming SOON to @polyrouter !! Get granular detail about how the Order Books evolve over time across every market and platform. Huge for researchers and traders alike 🥸 polyrouter.io
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Aug 28, 2025
I’m building an X extension that puts @Kalshi directly in your feed It finds the most relevant prediction markets for every post on your timeline Any big news or good takes? Instantly find a market to capitalize on it Would you use this?
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Sep 12, 2025
I built an X extension that brings Prediction Markets into your feed. Front run other traders just by scrolling. Find relevant markets for any post, from breaking news to hot takes. Timeline to wager = 2 clicks SocialPM tech is here. Powered by @Kalshi Download below 👇
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Nov 5, 2025
Replying to @TheStalwart
Caliph
@fieldviolence
Sep 21, 2025
Gabe Newell talking about prediction markets and productivity: “We think there’s a huge amount of value on the entertainment side and the information capture side to having prediction markets.” Crazy that he said this in 2013…
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Sep 16, 2025
Replying to @fieldviolence
sooo... how much did he make? tldr, He would've had a 27.5% return if he bet with the same size across all relevant markets. In under a year... He beat the S&P just by keeping up with the news, and knowing how history has unfolded before. Goated.
Caliph
@fieldviolence
Nov 9, 2025
Article
soo... how much do prediction markets influence real world events?
During the recent NYC mayoral election, there was criticism on the potential influence prediction markets had the electorate, most notably from @BillAckman I wanted to see if there was any truth to...
Caliph
@fieldviolence
Oct 21, 2025
HUGE NEWS... the @polyrouter Open Beta is now LIVE! To celebrate, we're bringing prediction market sports data directly to builders. Get live NFL odds from @Novig, @PlayProphetX, and @SX_Bet + more 🏈👇 FREE API key: polyrouter.io Docs: docs.polyrouter.io
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Caliph
@fieldviolence
Sep 16, 2025
Replying to @fieldviolence
And What now? This should be your sign to study history. Everything has happened before, and it's not difficult to forecast macro scale events and impacts with just a bit of research. If you're good enough to be a history professor, you're good enough to be profitable. 🤍🫡