OK, I'm calling it. The American century died at 4pm on April 2, 2025. The future will be dominated by China. This begins immediately. Expect presidents, prime ministers, and CEOs make a beeline for Beijing.
Russia is a gas station with a pump and some old nukes, right? Certainly we're vastly richer and better off than Russians right? Right? If that is roughly correct, then tell me why:
(1) Six times as many Americans die of nutritional deficiencies per capita than Russians*? 1/🧵
🇨🇳China can subsidize 10-20% tariffs for a few months. They CANNOT subsidize a 54% tariffs.
This will have COLOSSAL impacts on China.
They can't fix domestic real estate, subsidize industries, build their military, fund the Belt & Road, etc, etc with this level of tariffs from
Even 19-year-old Chinese girls were already taller than their US counterparts in 2019! What a fast moving variable!
[IQ-obsessed morons should recall that height is at least as heritable as IQ.]
In 1985, 5-year-old American girls were 7cm taller than their Chinese counterparts. The latter overtook the Americans in 2013. But 2019, they were 2cm taller! 👀
One of the problems with Austrian economics is that they read Schumpeter (1911) but not Schumpeter (1942). This was a very dramatic change of perspective.
In 1911, creative destruction happens through the entry of new firms that force the exit of incumbent firms—what you
“the global car market could divide in two: a high-priced low-tech island comprising the US and Canada and a cheaper, more digitally connected market for the rest of the world.”
on.ft.com/4gQRa37
The actual truth, revealed by these vital statistics, is that Russian society has stabilized and grown healthier under Putin's authoritarian rule, while we're getting sicker and destabilized with our monkey democracy. 7/
Capital controls are coming, and with it the end of dollar primacy.
Pettis fresh off the press: “The most effective way is likely to be by imposing controls on the US capital account that limit the ability of surplus countries to balance their surpluses by acquiring US assets.”
“Pettis’s ideas seem to be influential among some advisers, such as Treasury secretary Scott Bessent, Stephen Miran, the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, and Vance.”