The waitlist for Spend Market is now open.
If America buys it, you can trade it.
Reserve your username and share with friends. The top 250 referrers get fee-free trading for a year.
Sign up now at spend.market
New primitives are coming to @arbitrum
This market from @spendmarket is pricing in consumer data that represents people possibly avoiding salad/slop chains over a cyclosporiasis scare and running to @jerseymikes instead
Programmable markets have advanced to the point where you
🆕 New project added to the prediction markets wiki
Spend Market
@spendmarket lets traders predict what Americans will buy, with verified purchase data determining the outcome 🛒📊
It brings consumer spending data on-chain through information markets.
You'll find an @ouraring or a @WHOOP on every wrist, and on no exchange.
Which one added more members this month? Only one place keeps the count: spend.market
The stock market is closed for the weekend. The register isn't.
On spend.market, positions can be opened, adjusted, or closed at anytime.
Nights, weekends, and holidays. 24/7. Unlike some markets we know.
Worth checking your position on the waitlist. Next week gets interesting.
And don't forget: the top 250 will trade fee-free for a year. Refer a friend and move up in the queue.
Worth checking your position on the waitlist. Next week gets interesting.
And don't forget: the top 250 will trade fee-free for a year. Refer a friend and move up in the queue.
Hedge your own behavior. Spend heavily in a category?
Get paid when it grows.
Go long the subscriptions group, and if its spending climbs, your position gains offset what you're paying every month.
Same logic for the daily coffee run or the grocery bill that keeps creeping
Try comparing @DraftKings and @Kalshi on spending, and you can't.
DraftKings: revenue quarterly, after the fact... mostly sports
Kalshi: completely private, notional volume... mostly sports
Different venues. Different markets. Different risks.
That's exactly what we look at:
Thanks for the questions, everyone!
We really enjoyed answering them.
If you're curious, feel to join the waitlist and get first access to our markets at spend.market
Maybe we'll do this again soon.
Data team had fun with this one!
We looked at 3 commoditized verticals: drugstores, gas, and grocery.
Drugstores are by far where the most loyalty lies. Makes sense considering how American healthcare works.
Grocery has the least brand loyalty, although gas stations have the
Absolutely. Already on our roadmap!
Shout-out our friends at @Plaid.
We see a world where there's a personal finance app in your pocket that pays you for your data (aggregated, anonymized, and private)...that also allows you to use Spend Markets to hedge your own spending.
Fantastic question.
A couple of standardizations in place:
1. A Spend Market closes on day "T". No more trading.
2. A Spend Market resolves at "T+2" days. This allows all relevant transactions to clear. No getting screwed on resolution because someone tried to swing the
When betting on outcomes, there's usually a finite window in which the outcome resolves. Take *who will win a World Cup match*; it starts and ends at a fixed time and place.
For consumer spending, how are these timetables generally defined?
