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The Budget Lab
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The Budget Lab
@The_Budget_Lab
The Budget Lab is a non-partisan policy research center dedicated to providing in-depth analysis of federal proposals for the American economy.
budgetlab.yale.edu
Joined March 2024
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  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    May 16, 2025
    Read the new report from @The_Budget_Lab that scores the budgetary effects of the May 2025 Tax Bill.
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    Budgetary Effects of the May 2025 Tax Bill (Preliminary)
    From budgetlab.yale.edu
    14K
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    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Jan 31, 2025
    A 25 percent tariff on all Canadian and Mexican imported goods — paired with a 10 percent tariff on all Chinese imports — would lead to a permanent 0.8 percent bump in the price level, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index. That translates to
    user avatar
    Alan Rappeport
    @arappeport
    Jan 31, 2025
    The World Economy Awaits Trump’s First Round of Tariffs w/ ⁦@AnaSwanson⁩⁦@colbyLsmith⁩ nytimes.com/2025/01/31/bus… via @NYTimes
    2.1K
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    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Oct 1, 2025
    “The labour market doesn’t feel great, so it feels correct that AI is taking people’s jobs. But we’ve looked at this many, many different ways, and we really cannot find any sign that this is happening,” said @The_Budget_Lab's @marthagimbel in today's @FT piece "AI is not
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    2.4K
  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Apr 13, 2024
    The Budget Lab at Yale has launched! Our non-partisan policy research center will provide in-depth analysis for federal policy proposals impacting the American economy. The Budget Lab aims to fill a critical gap in policy evaluation. Read more:
    budgetlab.yale.edu
    The Budget Lab at Yale Will Provide In-Depth Analysis for Federal Policy Proposals
    2.9K
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    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Sep 19, 2025
    Join us Tuesday, September 30 at noon EDT for the next @The_Budget_Lab webinar, "Tariffs in an Uncertain Legal Environment. Register here: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regist… @AnaSwanson @nytimes will moderate a timely discussion with @petereharrell @CarnegieEndow, @scottlincicome
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    11K
  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Jun 13, 2025
    Today in @jacobbogage's Early Brief @washingtonpost. "The team at the @The_Budget_Lab ran the analysis on what the tax cuts and new spending in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act plus the effect of Trump's tariffs would mean for Americans' personal economic fortunes."
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    5.6K
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    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Feb 11, 2025
    Post Next 50! Thrilled for @The_Budget_Lab's @NatashaRSarin named by @washingtonpost as part of the first-ever Post Next 50, a list of people whose work will shape our society. wapo.st/NatashaSarin
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    4K
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    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Jul 18, 2024
    Join @The_Budget_Lab and @NiskanenCenter for a webinar on July 23 at 3pm ET: Economic consequences of weak governance and policy instability.  @KateDavidson @Bloomberg will moderate a discussion with @dolanecon,@MichaelRStrain @AEI, @ernietedeschi RSVP: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
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    21K
  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Feb 18, 2025
    Join @The_Budget_Lab for a webinar on Thursday, February 27 at noon EST to discuss TCJA. @Neil_Irwin @axios will moderate a discussion with @NatashaRSarin, @George_A_Callas @Arnold_Ventures, and @Brendan_Duke @amprog. RSVP: yale.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
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    4.4K
  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Feb 1, 2025
    “For the typical American household, the tariffs will mean a loss of about $1,200 in purchasing power, according to the Budget Lab at Yale University, a nonpartisan research center.”
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    Trump imposes tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China
    From washingtonpost.com
    1.7K
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    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Sep 30, 2025
    "We are currently seeing an economy that may or may not be at a turning point, particularly for the labor market,” said @marthagimbel @The_Budget_Lab. "Such turning points are always difficult to recognize in real time, which makes it even more important to have as much
    user avatar
    Ben Casselman
    @bencasselman
    Sep 30, 2025
    Replying to @bencasselman
    🎁🔗: nytimes.com/2025/09/30/bus…
    7.7K
  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Sep 19, 2024
    Tonight. 6pm ET. PBS @NewsHour will air an interview with @The_Budget_Lab's Director of Economics @ErnieTedeschi on the "No Tax on Tips" proposals by both presidential candidates. If you miss it, you can watch online at pbs.org/newshour.
    2.4K
  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    May 16, 2025
    Replying to @The_Budget_Lab
    Key takeaways from the report that analyzes the legislation under consideration by the House Ways and Means Committee as part of the reconciliation process: 1.) As written, the tax bill under consideration by the House would add $3.4 trillion to the debt over the 2025-2034
    3.3K
  • user avatar
    The Budget Lab
    @The_Budget_Lab
    Feb 3, 2025
    Tomorrow. LIVE 7am ET. @ernietedeschi will be talking with @NPR @NPRinskeep about @the_budget_lab's estimates of the economic and fiscal effects of the Trump tariffs.
    budgetlab.yale.edu
    Tariffs, the Dollar, and the Fed
    2.7K

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