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with votehub's new precinct maps you can see that trump barely wins the Midwest smiley face bellwether in the 2024 election
Austin Park
5,752 posts
Austin Park
@austinjpark
Cofounder & Head of Research @VoteHub. Math & Polisci @Stanford. PxP @KZSUSportsRadio. Contact: [email protected]. he/him
- nope i hate tech bros"I hate Tech Bros" No you just don't like East Asian culture and their norms around wealth and status.
- that is not in fact the reason why democrats won this Senate seatThis Post is from an account that no longer exists. Learn more
- this is, by the way, the exact map that current polling suggestsI think we are underrating the chances of this map.
- Replying to @MKolis2965334god forbid a guy take a nice picture in the mountains
- democratic congressmembers when Biden says he's not stepping down:um okay ask again
- NEW: introducing Austin Park's Five Keys to the Presidency, boasting a perfect prediction rate since 1984. Democrats win if at least 3 keys resolve to Yes. Currently, there are 2 Yes keys and 2 No keys, which means the race comes down to which MLB team loses the World Series.
- There was! You can check where you won by finding all the purple on the map
This is why there should have been a primary. - jake sherman when republicans exceed expectations: 💥💥💥 WOW!! HUGE win for Mike Johnson and leadership. EXCLUSIVE on Punchbowl: Early warning signs for Dems in 2026? jake sherman when democrats exceed expectations:NRCC outraised by the DCCC.
- Alright, well, hats off to Nate Cohn for nailing the whole low-propensity voters/race depolarization thing. Will readily admit that I was wrong about that
- Replying to @williamjamesthe democrats didn't lose to the child molester...?
- you know, this is actually a really true statement and this scenario really terrifies me (as a Democrat). it would really be wise if the trump campaign spent a lot of money in californiaYou’re unable to view this Post because this account owner limits who can view their Posts. Learn more
- I refuse to pay for Nate Silver's model but I would really like to know where RFK is picking up electoral college votes in 5% (!!) of simulations
- *RATINGS UPDATE* Wisconsin: Tossup -> Likely DA lot of rumors out there about Kamala having a serious drinking problem…apparently coming into focus as campaign heats up. ⏳Stay Tuned…
