Yes as all great traders & gamblers say:
"Once you learn how to win for the first time, that edge is going to last forever and you can safely project your cashflows out 30 years."
Learn how to make money on @Polymarket once and you’ll make money forever
Crypto’s full of people who get profits in a bull run and lose all in a bear. Polymarket flips that script, the same real-world events keep happening no matter the market cycle, so the edge stays
This is
My Key Takeaways from Billy Walters on Rogan:
I have seen mixed reviews on the Billy Walters interview in regards to how actionable anything is. My personal opinion is it's super actionable, but a lot of the good stuff comes from reading between the lines.
Here are my big
An Open Letter to the Sports Betting Industry
The morning after winning $35,000 betting I woke up locked out from my account. No communication, private or public, from the company. (I name names at the end).
I tell that to friends outside the gambling space - disbelief and
15 years ago, I didn’t know anything about gambling
Today, sports betting is paying me more than an Investment Banking job (which I briefly had)
So, I want to give back
I am building a community that isn't sponsored by sportsbooks and is 100% free
Free shit thread🧵
Quitting Drinking
The one DM I always respond to is the one about quitting drinking. It's not because of some moral code or AA organizational goal. It's because it was the single highest leverage decision in my life.
I recently got a great DM w/ the following 4 questions posed
Broke: Posting a million dollar SGP win a user hit on your sportsbook
Woke: Bragging about how much people made insider trading the Noble Peace Prize on your exchange
March Madness has brought to my attention a group in need of help:
Adults who watch sports literally just for fun…
What are you a child? Either bet on the game or do some work around the house.
Useful time to get my twitter account back - I am going to BetBash tomorrow. Would love to meet (almost) anyone I have interacted with on here + people interested in working with us (primarily movers or small originators)
Also - thank you for all of the love re the recent pods
Holy shit - someone finally wrote something good about prediction markets. I don't see a long term solution in market making for like 98% of the non-sports markets and this penguin explains why perfectly.