October jobs report due Nov 6, 8:30 AM ET: consensus +63K payrolls, unemployment 4.2%, after September's +29K and JOLTS at 7.52M.
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JPMorgan puts a Democratic sweep at 66% with an S&P 500 read of -0.25% to +0.50%. Plus JOLTS, AMD and the Fed's 3.75-4.00% range. Nov 3, 2026.
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Intel closed at $65.76 on Oct 30, down 28.58% on 455.6M shares, after a Q4 guide of $0.25 EPS vs $0.43 expected. What broke and who else got hit.
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September's weak jobs report shows why FRED's revisions matter, and which economic series to watch before the October data lands.
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S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq 2.0% in the week to Oct 30, 2026, while the Russell 2000 rose 1.3%. Intel dropped about 29% and Alphabet 12.6%.
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Nasdaq-100 futures -2.5%, S&P futures -1%, Dow futures flat after Alphabet -12.6%, Intel -25% and Amazon -6%. The 10Y fell to about 4.91%.
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Fed assets sit flat near $6.75T while the 10Y Treasury yields 5.03% and the 20Y still pays more than the 30Y. Real yields, not QT, explain the move.
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Kalshi prices a 95% Fed hold at 2:00 PM ET on Oct 28, 2026. December hike odds sit near 75% with September CPI at 3.7%. What the 2:30 PM presser has to change.
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CME FedWatch prices a 91% hold on Oct 28, but 79% odds of at least one hike by Dec 9. What the market is actually trading into FOMC day.
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Brent settled at $116.72 Friday, yet the 10Y breakeven sits at 2.34%. The oil-versus-inflation gap ahead of Wednesday's Fed and Thursday's PCE.
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Fed holds ~90% priced at 3.75-4.00%; GDP and PCE Thursday 8:30 AM ET; Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon report. The dated calendar for Oct 26-30, 2026.
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A liquidation cascade is a chain of forced sales. Why the first wave often matters less than the second, and how to watch for the loop forming.
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Brent settled $116.72, 10Y back at 5.00%, Dow +0.4% while S&P 500 fell 0.5% and Nasdaq 0.7%. Weekly recap and FOMC week calendar.
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Nasdaq fell 2.60% to 26,008.86, the 10-year dropped 18bp to 4.965% as Brent hit $113.17, and spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $635M of outflows.
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Meta's Q3: $34.91B capex, negative $2.12B free cash flow, a 20% operating margin, and a new non-voting Class C stock dividend. What the filings show.
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20Y Treasury closed at 5.47% vs the 30Y at 5.42% on Oct 20. The hump has held since Oct 13, and $13B of 20Y bonds auction at 1:00 PM ET today.
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Fed Chair Warsh gave no October signal and hike odds fell from ~27% to ~16%, yet the 10Y sits near 5.06% and Brent near $108.
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Nasdaq fell 4.5% last week. Now TXN, LRCX, INTC report inside three days with the Fed in blackout. The dated week-ahead calendar, in ET.
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What a Form 4 insider filing shows, why open-market purchases carry more signal than sales, and how to read the headline dollar figure correctly.
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Nasdaq -4.5%, S&P 500 -1.9% to 7,659.44, Dow +0.7%: the week of Oct 12-16, 2026 in numbers, plus the earnings calendar that tests the selloff.
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