CH (@Econimica) / X

3,313 posts

@Econimica

Oregon, USA

econimica.blogspot.com

Joined March 2016

Pinned
CH
@Econimica
May 2
Below charts are macro-feasts...don't dig into this until your sitting down, cool refreshment in hand, and mind space available. You'll at least get out of it what you paid to see it! First chart: Red=change per decade US federal marketable debt (excluding Intragovernmental held
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CH
@Econimica
Sep 29, 2023
Replying to @RobertKennedyJr
this is not going to age well for RFK...like, really, really not well.
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CH
@Econimica
Jul 18, 2023
Replying to @TaviCosta
black line=tax receipts as a % of federal debt moving to record lows...
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CH
@Econimica
Mar 31, 2025
Replying to @profplum99
the folks in the blue columns consume 10x what the folks in the red column consume...global trade no longer serves many of the individual nations and the global system of debt, trade, finance is broken beyond repair.
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CH
@Econimica
Oct 28, 2023
Replying to @SteveHarney
This sort of industry self serving propaganda is every bit as poor as “doomsday clickbait”. Serve your clients and customers, don’t try to sell them self serving narratives. Panic isn’t/wasn’t the problem, it was/is math.
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CH
@Econimica
Aug 2, 2023
Replying to @elerianm
El-Erians’ take on this is consensus blowback against an irreparable problem. Truth is this is massively overdue and is so short of what needs be said. Bit lame from a gentleman I’ve listened to with keen interest before.
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CH
@Econimica
Sep 16, 2025
Replying to @EddyElfenbein
prime aged male and female populations, employees, employee/population ratios. The problem is that the vast majority of population growth is coming among the eldest population segments with incredibly low participation rates...and this trend will be much more acute over the next
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CH
@Econimica
Nov 9, 2025
Replying to @davevermilion
Average homeowner longevity in a home is around 12 years... On a $500k loan @ 7% after 12 years... homeowner would have paid... $414,765 interest $15,409 principal
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CH
@Econimica
Aug 27, 2025
Replying to @GraphCall @LukeGromen and @KingKong9888
Since '20, $ surplus nations selling T's...$ deficit nations buying T's...hmmm.
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CH
@Econimica
Jan 25, 2024
Replying to @JohnWake
shocking...the admittance that is. Not a shock that housing is driven by finance.
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CH
@Econimica
Aug 7, 2023
Replying to @DonMiami3
the sign of recession incoming isn't maximum badness (that's the bottom and sign of upcoming growth potential)...it's max good. Maximum employment, maximum credit, max'ed out potential growth...everything good that could happen being actualized. Trees don't grow to the
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CH
@Econimica
Jan 5, 2024
Replying to @profplum99
Prof Plum... 24 months prior to "peak employment" and 24 months post to each "peak employment" for every recession back to 1990. July was this cycles "peak employment" and US continues to roll over...like every other recession since 1990.
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CH
@Econimica
Jan 17, 2024
Replying to @fuxianyi
updated...China continues to follow UN's lowest variants.
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CH
@Econimica
Jan 17, 2024
Replying to @WinfieldSmart
dystopian stuff happening in real time.
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